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Tech and Bonds, the bigger they are the harder they fall: 2013 Q3 letter

Tech and Bonds, the bigger they are the harder they fall: 2013 Q3 letter

Dear Friends, We hope you had a pleasant summer with family and friends. The third quarter of 2013 saw global financial markets encounter some turbulence, driven largely by fears of central bank monetary tightening. The Federal Reserve issued a series of statements early in the summer, essentially warning investors the era of large-scale monthly bond …

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Interest Rates and Stocks: comparing numerators and denominators

Interest Rates and Stocks: comparing numerators and denominators

For the past couple of years, we have been highlighting to our clients the fact that the market value of their bond portfolios will drop when rates rise. This is especially true of long-bonds. However, we haven’t often explictly discussed the impact this can have on stocks. All else being equal, rising interest rates exert …

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Yelp, I’m drowning in the medium

Yelp, I’m drowning in the medium

A story about the founding of Yelp led us to wonder why Zagat didn’t create Yelp. The core idea (reviews by consumers) is exactly identical, and the Zagats had their brainstorm in 1979. Why couldn’t they translate the phenomenal success of their printed reviews and their formidable brand into an online presence with a moat …

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Tale of two economies

Tale of two economies

“There’s only four things [America does] better than anyone else: music, movies, microcode (software), and high-speed pizza delivery.” — Neal Stephenson, Snow Crash. There are increasingly, two different economies in the country, the knowledge economy, and the physical economy. The knowledge economy is thriving, since that is most of what we export nowadays and much …

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That Internet in your pocket is disrupting the world.

That Internet in your pocket is disrupting the world.

 We don’t often write about individual companies on our blog since we feel all investments need to be considered in the context of a portfolio and an investor’s objectives. We will be making an exception here, since we’re gong to discuss the evolution of an industry where the pace of creative destruction has been frantic, …

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Efficient Markets, Mean Reversion and why chickens come home to roost

Efficient Markets, Mean Reversion and why chickens come home to roost

A recent article in the Financial times, Clash of the CAPE Crusaders, on the radically different conclusions arrived at by Jeremy Seigel and Robert Shiller when evaluating long-range stock results reminded us of an draft post we had begun a while ago.  This debate between value investors and others has been running for a long …

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Commodity supercycles, Windup Girls and Family Farms

Commodity supercycles, Windup Girls and Family Farms

In our SRI portfolios, we screen companies and industries for those actors who run sustainable businesses. Their usage of resources and fulfillment of broader responsibility counts as much as their financial prospects.  Ocassionally, we step back from our narrow interests in a specific company or industry to look at the broader picture. We did that …

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2013 Q2 letter: Tapering off the rocket-fuel

2013 Q2 letter: Tapering off the rocket-fuel

 We hope you are enjoying the summer thus far. In the financial markets, things seem to be heating up as temperatures rise across the northern hemisphere. The events of the last few weeks of June seem to have triggered a wake-up call for many investors who may have been lulled into a false sense of …

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Green Festival NYC

Green Festival NYC

We are at the NYC Green Festival this weekend, talking to visitors about Socially Responsible Investing.  Stop by and visit up at booth 321, Javits North.

2012 Q4 Letter

2012 Q4 Letter

Dear Clients & Friends, As the New Year begins, we’d like to wish you and your family a wonderful 2013. 2012 was quite an eventful year for the global economy. The Federal Reserve maintained exceptionally low rates, which prompted a number of reactions from investors and consumers alike. Home mortgage rates remained near historic lows, …

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2013: Top Ten Investment Themes

2013: Top Ten Investment Themes

2013 Themes: Snakes and Ladders   Europe lingers: The full-blown European crisis has been with us now for almost 4 years. It appears to morph into a different shape every few months. We believe political action and inaction in Europe will continue to drive global markets this year. Two important events will occur in 2013, …

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2012 Investment Themes Reviewed

2012 Investment Themes Reviewed

2012 Themes: The More Things Change.   Since we’ve now closed the chapter on 2012, we’d like to review our “10 economic themes for 2012” from last January to see how well our ideas performed. We’ve graded ourselves using these symbols: ? Right,  X Wrong, ? Not Exactly. ? Steady as she goes: We think it unlikely the Fed will …

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Critical financial documents

Critical financial documents

An article in the New York Time today reminds us all how important it is to have our financial act in order before a life-changing event occurs. We always advise clients to prepare a will, health care proxy and medical directive as part of our initial conversations with them. We’ve worked with numerous legal and …

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