Author: louis

Al Gore’s SRI Investment Fund To Focus On Asia

Al Gore’s SRI Investment Fund To Focus On Asia

Al Gore

Earlier this week, Bloomberg ran a story about the rumored creation of a $500 million investment fund to be launched by Generation Investment Management, the socially responsible investment firm co-founded by Al Gore. If true (which seems to be the case since Generation has not publicly denied the story), it would be the single largest investment fund to target Asia with a socially responsible mandate.

Generation Investment Management, which Gore co-founded in 2004 with David Blood, a former head of asset management at Goldman Sachs, is headquartered in London with offices in New York and Sydney.Over the past several years, they have quickly emerged as a major player in the socially responsible investment space.In 2008, they closed their flagship Global Equity Fund to new investors after successfully raising $5 billion dollars in assets.This strategy invests in a concentrated portfolio (approximately 30-50 individual positions at any given time) of publicly traded global companies.

In 2007, Generation launched a second strategy, the Climate Solutions Fund, which is more of a pure play into the green energy space. The fund targets both public and private equity opportunities, focusing almost exclusively on small cap energy companies engaged in helping the world transition from a high-carbon to a low carbon economy. According to the website, this fund has selected four main sectors within the alternative energy space for investment: renewable energy generation and distribution, energy efficiency and demand destruction, carbon markets and climate-related financial services, and solutions for the biomass economy.This fund also was also closed in 2008 after successfully raising $683 million in capital from investors.

The Asia Fund, like the Global Equity and Climate Solutions funds before it, will likely follow a strict investment philosophy mandate that integrates sustainability research into a rigorous traditional investment process in order to deliver superior long-term results.Like several other socially responsible investment managers in the space, Generation subscribes to the view that companies which effectively confront sustainability factors now will outperform those companies which do not, particularly in the long term.

While performance data for the funds is not publicly disclosed, according to Bloomberg, in an annual report filed by one of Generation’s institutional investors, the UK Environment Agency’s pension fund, the Global Equities fund outpaced its benchmark index (the MSCI World Index) by 10% in the 12 month period ending in March 2010.This data, while certainly a small sample size, is particularly impressive given the fact that the index was up 47% over the same period.

So how does one invest in Generation’s Funds?

Currently, their funds are closed to new money and are only available to institutional and/or high net worth investors. It remains to be seen whether or not Generation decides to open up their strategies to smaller investors through a mutual fund offering. If they do decide to go in this direction, it’s safe to say their prospects certainly won’t be hurt by having the world’s foremost SRI pitch man in their corner.

 

Image Credit: Tom Raftery

This article originally appeared on Just Means.

Can Emerging Markets Be Socially Responsible Investments?

Can Emerging Markets Be Socially Responsible Investments?

Smog in Dehli

The Wall Street Journal recently ran a piece on how socially responsible mutual funds, following a larger trend in the investment world, are increasingly putting money to work in emerging markets. While emerging market stocks can bring diversification and growth benefits to a portfolio, there are several issues that a socially responsible investor needs to consider before embracing this trend.

For readers unfamiliar with the term, emerging markets are those economies that are relatively new to global capital markets and are experiencing a period of rapid expansion. In the financial world, emerging markets are considered high risk and volatile investments. While they certainly can perform well during up markets, they often suffer precipitous declines during down markets. A good example of emerging market economies are the so called BRIC countries (Brazil Russia India China) which have seen rapid growth over the past several years.

But for socially responsible investors, there’s more to the picture than just performance. And while the economic growth of these emerging markets has been impressive, the development of ethical business practices often leaves much to be desired. Part of this has to do with the regulatory apparatus in place within these countries, but part of it also has to with the nature of economies experiencing rapid growth: economic opportunity often trumps any other consideration.

When examining the emerging market space, the socially responsible investor should consider the following shortcomings:

Lack of transparency: financial and corporate governance data can often be opaque in emerging market economies, particularly in countries with authoritarian regimes in place, like China.

Lack of regulation: emerging market economies often have fewer workplace and environmental regulations in place with weak enforcement. Also, companies can be difficult to engage on these issues, particularly if they view corporate responsibility as a drag on their bottom line and have no financial incentive (like tax breaks) to reform.

Political overhang: while an individual company may meet certain SRI criteria, the country in which they operate may not, which may make owning stock in these companies untenable to certain SRI investors.

So why are mutual funds with a socially responsible mandate getting into this space? In a word: performance.

According to MSCI, as of 12/31/10, emerging markets have annualized returns of +13.18% per year over the past ten years. In comparison, international developed markets as measured by the EAFE index (Europe Australia Far East) have annualized returns of only +1.06% over the same 10 year period.

When considering this data, it’s clear to see why SRI mutual fund managers who often have to overcome the unwarranted stigma of providing lower returns than traditional mutual funds – are looking for opportunities in a space that has delivered such outsized performance over the past several years.

So how does a socially responsible investor ensure exposure to emerging markets through mutual funds won’t be ethically compromising?

Contact the fund: Most SRI mutual fund companies are very good about providing investment details and their screening practices either on their website or in a prospectus.

Use third party research: Investment websites like Morningstar provide detailed information about company and country exposure for a particular fund.

Work with an investment professional: Find an advisor who specializes in the socially responsible investments to help you determine which funds are most suitable for you.

Image Credit: Wili Hybrid

This article was originally appeared on Just Means.

What Egypt Means For Socially Responsible Investment

What Egypt Means For Socially Responsible Investment

The past several weeks have been momentous times for Egypt, Tunisia and many other countries in the Middle East and North Africa: regimes are toppling, the people are taking to the streets and protesting en masse, despots are quaking in their boots while world powers are scrambling to navigate the rapidly shifting political landscape.

Perhaps what has been most surprising is the speed at which these events have unfolded, nobody seemed to see any of this coming, particularly the US government, which appeared to have been caught flat-footed as evidenced by initial statements from President Obama and Secretary of State Clinton.  While it certainly has been encouraging to see the citizenry rise up and assert their human rights, it is important to note that the aftermath of any regime change may be protracted — it may take weeks, months, or perhaps even years before true stability returns to some of these countries. And sadly, there is no guarantee the regimes that replace the current crop will be any less autocratic (though we hope this is not the case).

So when we consider this region from a socially responsible investment perspective whether it be as a micro-financier, a venture capitalist, a non-profit aid organization or an individual investor the inevitable question arises: will the capital we invest help to deliver the social good we intend, particularly if the government in place is actively undermining these efforts?

There’s no question that foreign direct investment can benefit developing nations by spurring economic growth, relieving poverty, providing job and educational opportunities, improving basic healthcare and helping to build and support the conditions and institutions vital to a functioning free society. FDI can also be instrumental in improving a country’s infrastructure, particularly in the area of technology, which is essential for any economy hoping to compete in the information age (a question that has often been posed over the past few weeks is whether the events in Egypt could have even been possible if the people did not have access to social networking sites like Facebook or Twitter).

But while the potential benefits of FDI are clear, the degree to which these benefits are achieved can often times be murkier, particularly when dealing with corrupt governments that have been in power for in some cases decades. Investment dollars and state aid may be welcome by these leaders, but the Western cultural ideals and influence that may come with this capital often times is not.

So when those in the socially responsible investment community tackle this issue, there are two schools of thought that often emerge. These views resemble the sanctions-versus-engagement dilemma many developed nations face when confronting diplomacy issues with rogue states.

On one side, there’s the purist approach: investing in an autocratic nation not only explicitly endorses the regime’s authority and practices, but also helps to preserve the regime’s power and foster their growth. This investor tends to be more dogmatic in defining what constitutes a socially responsible investment and is less likely to compromise that view.

On the other side, there’s the pragmatic approach: investing in developing nations is by definition a messy endeavor and one cannot wait for the ideal environment to deploy capital because that environment may never arrive. A government will always have some level of corruption embedded in it, and even if a particular government is deemed acceptable, the nature of politics is fluid: the policies and practices in place today may not necessarily be the same ones in place tomorrow. So rather than wait for the country to meet certain baseline criteria, this investor seeks to take an active role in helping shape the country’s future by investing in companies or projects that they feel will have the greatest social impact.

So which approach is best?

Since socially responsible investing is often a subjective and deeply personal undertaking, there is no one right answer on how best to approach it.  What one socially responsible investor may find untenable another finds acceptable. So it falls to the individual or institution to decide what their mandate will be and how they will apply social and ethical principles to their investment decisions.

But regardless which approach is taken, what’s most important is that the end goal of all socially responsible investors is usually identical: use the resources at your disposal to, in the words of Gandhi, be the change you want to see in the world.

Image Credit: Mona

This article originally appeared on Just Means.

Subir and WSQ Capital profiled in print

Subir and WSQ Capital profiled in print

Subir and WSQ Capital are profiled in the February issue of Mann on The Street (pages 50 and 51 for those of you with a subscription).  The article features an overview of the services we provide, a summary of our investment philosophy and a very large picture of Subir’s face.

Green Power Faces Headwinds

Green Power Faces Headwinds

Last week, the New York Times published an interesting article about the economic challenges currently facing the renewable energy industry. While renewable energy has seen strong growth in the US over the past several years, the onset of the global recession has severely curtailed that growth.

There are several factors that have contributed to this slow down.

1. The credit crisis. The heady days of free-flowing credit have ended.  Renewable energy companies can no longer rely on banks to provide the high levels of of credit necessary to fund this still nascent industry.  This lack of credit is further compounded by the reduced demand for alternative energy projects — according to the American Wind Energy Association, year-to-date wind power installations are down 72% over 2009 levels.

2.  Fossil Fuel prices. 2008 saw a huge run-up in fossil fuel prices, where Brent crude oil topped out at $145 per barrel.  The global recession substantially reduced demand, causing fuel prices to fall off a cliff.  Brent crude dropped into the mid $40s range  in 2009, and while it has rebounded into the mid $80s in 2010, it is still a long ways off from $145.   In 2008, alternative energy installation costs appeared more palatable in a rising fossil fuel environment.  But with oil and natural gas prices still depressed, the economics favor the traditional energy sources.  And recent strides made in hydraulic fracturing will likely keep natural gas prices low for the foreseeable future.

3.  Consumption costs. With lower fossil fuel prices, the cost differential between traditional power and alternative energy projects can be quite stark.  The Rhode Island state public utilities commission recently rejected a power purchase deal for an offshore wind project because it would raise utility costs from 9.5 cents per kilowatt hour to 24.4 cents per kilowatt hour.  According to the Times,  utility commissions in Virginia, Florida, Idaho and Kentucky have also rejected similar projects.  And while the rise in costs may not always be as substantial, the recessionary environment has caused municipalities to be reluctant to raise costs associated with power consumption, despite the long term benefits of switching to green power.

4.  Lack of a national energy policy.    Government support for the growth of the renewable energy industry in the form of tax credits and clean power mandates has mainly fallen on the States.  At the state level, there is a wide gap between those states that have embraced renewable energy (California, Washington, New Jersey) and those that have not (South Carolina, Indiana, West Virginia).  And while the Obama administration has trumpeted the need for an increase in renewable energy, the climate change legislation brought before Congress in 2009 (American Clean Energy and Security Act)  has been tabled indefinitely by the Senate after passing by a razor thin margin in the House  (219-212).  With the recent Republican surge in the House, several of the Democratic supporters of this bill have been voted out of out of office.   Given the divided Congress and Obama’s flagging approval ratings, it is difficult to imagine a scenario in which a comprehensive national energy policy is put into place before 2013.

This patient may need a defibrillator…

This patient may need a defibrillator…

Today, the  non-partisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO),  published a report estimating that government stimulus raised real GDP (Gross Domestic Product) by anywhere from 1.7% to up to 4.5% in the second quarter of 2010.   The report is 20 pages long, but is worth a look.  Reuters put out a piece this afternoon that summarizes the report.

A revised Q2 GDP number will be released this coming Friday.  The consensus from economists polled by Reuters is that the economy grew in Q2 at a rate of 1.4%.  Piecing together this number with the CBO’s estimate of the stimulus’s impact leads to the uncomfortable realization that without government stimulus, the US economy contracted in the second quarter, pointing to evidence of a dreaded “double dip recession.”

While this outcome has surprised many market commentators (particularly those in the bullish camp), for almost a year now we have been skeptical that the US economy would come roaring out of our worst recession since the Great Depression, despite the injection of hundreds of billions of dollars in government stimulus.

In our 10 Themes for ’10 we published in January, our #6 theme was the following:

A cold year for growth: We expect the US economy will see almost negligible growth in 2010.  Margins will continue to contract for US businesses and profit growth will remain slim. The expiration of stimulus programs and slim prospects for their renewal in a mid-term election year will reduce aggregate demand.  Cost cutting and efficiency measures will continue to be necessary to offset top-line deterioration.

We believe the impact of the combined credit, real-estate and stock market crisis of 2007-2009 will take years to resolve.  Typically, recovery from such crises has impacted growth rates for 5-10 years as households rebuild savings. Unfavorable demographic trends (such as in Japan), can push growth even further into the future.

In our Q1 quarterly letter, published in April, we wrote the following:

Withdrawal of Economic Stimulus. The other major theme we expect to impact our economy over the rest of the year is the withdrawal of extraordinary fiscal and monetary stimulus programs put in place during the crisis. Various measures by the Fed, European and Asian central banks to provide liquidity support to banks and markets will be withdrawn over the course of the next several months.  Numerous stimulus programs across the world will also be removed over the course of this year, including bank loan fueled infrastructure spending in China.  As the global economy has these crutches removed, we will watch with great interest to see how severe the damage to core private enterprise has been.  We will also keenly track developments in trade agreements since various countries have enacted or are considering trade barriers and currency related moves to protect key industries and exporters.

As evidenced by the CBO report, it appears the damage to private enterprise has been fairly severe and far reaching.  Now that the crutch of government stimulus has been removed (with little likelihood of another round on the immediate horizon), our economy does not appear to be the picture of great health that some market commentators would have us believe.

Jim Chanos on Charlie Rose

Jim Chanos on Charlie Rose

Here is Charlie Rose’s interview with Jim Chanos regarding the China bubble.  One of our favorite exchanges:

Charlie Rose:  Tom Friedman weighed in on this [China bubble].  He said “never short a country [China] with $2 trillion in foreign currency reserves.”

Jim Chanos:  Yes.  The last two economies that had similar foreign currency reserves relative to the size of their economy was Japan in 1989 and the US in 1929.  I’ll let that be the end of the discussion.  It [foreign currency reserves] has no bearing on whether there’s a domestic credit bubble or not.

Gary Shilling on China

Gary Shilling on China

Gary Shilling was on Bloomberg TV this morning to discuss his views on China.  Mr. Shilling has a long track record of being a successful contrarian (correctly predicting the recession of 1973, the end of rampant US inflation in the late 1970’s and Japan’s economic collapse in 1988). He has recently joined the China bubble bandwagon, along with Jim Chanos (a highly regarded hedge fund manager who was famously one of the first investors to bet against Enron — Chanos’s hedge fund is named Kynikos ,which is the Greek word for cynic).   Chanos taped a segment with Charlie Rose to discuss his China thesis which aired yesterday.  We will post a link to that interview once it becomes available.  For now, the Shilling clip is worth a view.

We agree with the Shilling/Chanos thesis that China is in the midst of an economic bubble.   As a result, we are limiting exposure to investments in Chinese stocks.

Water works

Water works

Memories_of_summer

There are two interesting articles published in today’s NY Times on the topic of water.  The first, from the front page, explores the challenges facing coal-fired power plants and the municipalities that surround them when it comes to waste disposal.  While many of these plants have reduced the amount air pollution they create, these pollutants are increasingly finding their way into our nation’s waterways, as restrictions on water pollution aren’t nearly as stringent as those on air pollution.

The second article details the recent push by the Schwarzenegger administration to address many of the water-related issues facing California.  Water shortage is a  serious problem and one that California has grappled with for decades, but it has seemingly been lost in the shuffle amidst the state’s myriad other problems:  real estate collapse, budgetary shortfalls, forest fires etc.

Both articles highlight the need for legislation on both the federal and state level to address our nation’s dwindling and oft polluted water supply.   Climate change, population growth, suburban sprawl and pollution are exacerbating matters, especially in developing nations like China, where water problems will likely be more acute.

These problems won’t go away anytime soon and will likely intensify in the coming years.  As these problems become more pronounced and widespread, we believe those companies engaged in delivering potable water to people will become increasingly vital.